Wednesday, July 08, 2020

Coronavirus: Dilemma

One possibility exists that presents a real dilemma for public health officials: that a greater number of infections in midsummer will mean a less severe resurgence in the fall and winter. It may be the case that the best management over the long term is to intervene as little as possible.

Another dilemma may arise from the strategy of waiting for a vaccine before relaxing interventions meant to control spread of the virus. What if there is a vaccine but it only has the same efficacy as the typical flu vaccine, say 25% to 30%? Is that good enough? What if the vaccine is needed more than once a year to maintain protection? Should behavioral interventions continue? 

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